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Class type Standard Setting Learner Level This example is based on a lesson developed by Suzanne Elston. Equipped for the Future |
Examining Health Risks Context: This intermediate ESOL class has been meeting for several months at a local community college. None of the students have had formal schooling beyond the 8th grade. Although the teacher had conducted a goals survey in August to determine students’ individual needs and find out what they wanted to get out of the class, she hadn’t yet done much with the information. Now she wanted to revisit those goals in order to more clearly link her instruction to them. She used the role-related goals worksheet to start the process. As the class looked at the EFF Standards Wheel to talk about which skills related to their goals, they talked about their need for math and about how much they have to deal with numbers at work, from timesheets to company performance updates. When a student showed the teacher one of these updates, she saw that much of the information was presented in tables comparing production numbers over time, percent change, etc. Another student said that his employer gave them a monthly breakdown of absentee rates. Lesson:
The teacher asked the students what the purpose of learning about risk ratios might be, and this reminded them of a discussion they had had during their health unit about the panic over SARS, even though the risk of contracting it was actually very low for most people. They talked about how this kind of information can help you determine how serious a risk is. To begin practicing, they examined the statistics from a N.Y. Times article (below), and worked with a partner to create a chart that ranked these risks from greatest to least. They also discussed whether the things people worry about are necessarily high risk or are perhaps just high in our consciousness due to news reports and public interest.
Information taken from “Never Bitten, Twice Shy: The Real Dangers of Summer," The New York Times, 8/9/03 Once they had ranked the information, they compared their charts and discussed how they arrived at their sequences. Next, they brainstormed some risks they were actually concerned about, from the risk of World War III to INS raids to earthquakes to terrorist attacks. They discussed the fact that not all risks can be calculated because you might not have enough information. They figured out that in order to calculate the risk ratio you need to know: a) the total number in the population you’re talking about – a community, a workplace, a state, etc. and b) the number of people in that community that are affected by the risk. For example, to figure out the risk of being injured in a car accident, they determined that you’d need to find out how many people in the state were hurt in car accidents last year in relation to the total population of the state. With that understanding, they went back to the brainstormed list to figure out which risks they would be able to determine and which they couldn’t get enough information about. Then the teacher asked if anyone knew how to express 1 out of 8 as a percent. They all seemed to understand that it could be done, but didn’t know the process. Then, suddenly, one student came up with 12%. The teacher asked him how he had arrived at that figure and he explained that he knew ½ was 50%, so ¼ must be ½ of that or 25%, and 1/8 must be ½ of that or about 12%. When she asked about changing 1 out of 6 into a percent, another student explained that the way he did it was to think of a pie divided into 6 parts. He knew that if the parts were each 15%, the 6 parts would add up to 90%, so 15% was not large enough. He knew that 16% would add only 6% more to the 90% for a total of 96%, so the answer had to be closer to 17%. Both of these were wonderful examples of how adults may lack the knowledge to perform a mathematical operation but still understand the concept and be able to arrive at the answer. The teacher praised the creative strategies, but some students protested that these weren’t the exact “right” answers, and this led to a discussion about the value of estimation. For the purpose of evaluating the risk, were these numbers close enough? When do you need to calculate precisely and when will estimation suffice? What are some things that we estimate and what math do we use to do it? In the next class, the teacher taught them the algorithm for converting ratios/fractions to percents (for the times we need to be precise) and they practiced converting the ratios they had worked with the day before.
Then she handed out short informational texts she had found about some of the topics on their brainstormed list of concerns and gave them this assignment: 1) Select one topic to read about and extract the risk data. 2) Convert and organize the data into the two common formats (1 in x, % at risk), deciding how precise the percent needs to be (they decided to round to the tenth of a percent). 3) Add your information to the class chart so that everyone can compare the risks. The data came in a variety of formats: There is a 32% chance that a woman will develop varicose veins in her lifetime, but a 1 in 8 chance that she will develop breast cancer. The prevalence of diabetes in the United States is 6.2% across all cultures, but it affects 1 in 6 people of Hispanic/Latino background. The class spent some time talking about these different ways of stating risks and practiced converting the information between the two formats.
Since, throughout the lesson, they had been talking about their processes for arriving at their answers, it was not too difficult for them to help the teacher come up with an assessment checklist for their assignment. She asked them, “How will we know if you’ve done this well?” and, together, they came up with most of the ideas she used in the checklist
After the chart was completed and discussed, they talked about how the activity helped them appreciate the importance of paying attention to statistics so that they could make informed decisions based on information rather than media hype Here is how the “Use Math to Solve Problems and Communicate” Standard was addressed in these lessons.
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